Brief thought exercise: is it really reasonable to think El Chapo will stay in prison this time?

[youtube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dtL732swaLQ&w=620&h=315]

The longest article written on the capture of El Chapo Guzman (at least in an American publication) ran in The New Yorker in early May, and pointedly addressed the fact there's concern/mistrust among the Americans with regard to whether he'll actually stay in prison this time. After all, h…